Implied move

CASY implied move

Caseys General Stores Inc · Retail · $27.14B market cap

Last / underlying

$622.00

Expected move

±4.00%

Dollar range

$24.90

Straddle box

$597.11 – $646.90

Range uses the nearest listed expiry (Sep 18, 2026) ATM call + put mid. That is event-vol when earnings sit inside that expiry; it is not a guarantee the print stays inside the box.

Latest earnings window

Dec 7, 2026 Time TBD

EPS est. $6.47 · Rev est. $5.46B

After the print, compare the cash session move to the expected-move percent above. Inside the box means realized vol printed quieter than the straddle; outside means the tape outran implied.

Prior reports

Sep 8, 2026After Close · Actual -14.42%
Jun 9, 2026After Close · Actual +20.29%
Mar 9, 2026After Close · Actual +3.82%
Dec 9, 2025After Close · Actual -5.34%
Sep 8, 2025After Close · Actual +3.80%
Jun 9, 2025After Close · Actual +11.59%
Mar 11, 2025After Close · Actual +6.17%
Dec 9, 2024After Close · Actual -0.30%

Avg |actual| ±8.22% · 8 prints

Actuals are close-to-close session moves from daily bars (After Close = report day → next session; Before Open = prior close → report day). Implied-versus-actual still needs a stored recap snapshot.

How to read this page

Expected move is the nearest-expiry ATM call mid plus put mid, divided by last. After the print, compare the cash-session percent change to that box: inside means realized variance printed quieter than the straddle; outside means the tape outran implied. That is a description, not a trade.

Full formula and vendor notes: how the implied move works · methodology · disclaimer.

This week’s earnings calendar · Session briefing · Explainers